Office to Residential Building Conversion Metrics

Last summer, I wrote about the contraction in office space occupancy as the cultural shift of Work from Home tightens its grip on America’s office space industry, despite efforts by high-profile employers to corral their far-flung workforces and bring them back to the office in hopes of greater collaboration and efficiency. Some like J.P. Morgan Chase and Walmart have basically…

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As Predicted: All the News is Good

There is a series of metrics and indicators that point to continuing strength in the economy, with arrows from every imaginable direction pointing upward. Of course, leading off all the good news was the first interest rate cut by the Fed in four years. In September, the all-but-assured rate cut of 25 basis points was supplanted by a far more…

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The Fed Easing Is Already Impacting Housing

Fed Chairman Jay Powell’s remarks at the very exclusive Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in August signaled the Fed’s forthcoming action to reduce rates, starting in September. But even before that, in a sign that homebuyers sensed what was coming, sales of new homes rose unexpectedly in July, following significant revisions in the previous month’s data. Sales of newly built, single-family…

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Some of the Experts Keep Getting it Wrong

Some of the brightest minds in the economic research area are on Wall Street, working for either major investment banks or business news services with a global following. As recently as a couple of weeks ago, they were issuing research that warned of a slowdown coming in the economy: one began their note by saying that after having boomed its…

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More Pain in the Office Space Sector

I have written extensively about the one large hole in construction that has put a lid on a certain sector of concrete production, and more and more news continues to cause worry about its future: the office space industry. If there is one legacy from the pandemic that may linger for years to come, it is the Work-From-Home/Hybrid Work/Return-to-Office struggle…

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The Surprising Comeback of Retail

I live in suburbia. My town just outside of New Orleans looks like every other suburb in America, replete with good schools, a vibrant restaurant scene, and plenty of traffic at rush hour and during school times. My wife and I moved here 32 years ago, escaping the challenges of urban living—crime and potholes—for the comfort and security of life…

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The Other Shoe Drops

In the last half of April, there were a couple of seminal economic events that, taken together, mark an example of proverbial shoes dropping, and for the first time in years, marks a cautionary signal on the economy. The first shoe to drop was when Fed Chairman Jay Powell unexpectedly announced that firmer-than-expected inflation during the first quarter has called…

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The Outlook For Housing Looks Promising This Year

All the arrows are pointing to an even stronger housing market in 2024 than many had expected, and this prospect is streaming through all manner of indicators, from builder confidence to buyer motivation. And this beyond the fact that interest rates have barely moved; the widespread enthusiasm is driven by the promise of three interest rate cuts in 2024 which…

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The Overlooked Gift to Our Economy

by Pierre G. Villere Just a couple of months ago, I wrote about the outlook for a strong economy for the foreseeable future, and I cited the confluence of events that is apparent around us: Inflation that is falling, the outlook for interest rate cuts later this year, and the robust performance of the stock markets that is bolstering everyone’s 401(k)…

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