I have been extremely bullish on the economy in general, and the construction economy in particular, for years now. Going back to pre-pandemic times, I have continued to preach that all is well with the construction economy, despite Covid and the high interest rates that followed. And I have written often about how the strength of the consumer, and the…
Read MoreAuthor: Pierre Villere
Office to Residential Building Conversion Metrics
Last summer, I wrote about the contraction in office space occupancy as the cultural shift of Work from Home tightens its grip on America’s office space industry, despite efforts by high-profile employers to corral their far-flung workforces and bring them back to the office in hopes of greater collaboration and efficiency. Some like J.P. Morgan Chase and Walmart have basically…
Read MoreThe Great Economic Disconnect
As I sit down to write this, the presidential election has not taken place yet, but we can be assured of one thing: When you read this, we will have a new President-Elect. And that election will have very little effect on our companies, our customers, and our vendors, as daily life will go on, and we will continue to…
Read MoreAs Predicted: All the News is Good
There is a series of metrics and indicators that point to continuing strength in the economy, with arrows from every imaginable direction pointing upward. Of course, leading off all the good news was the first interest rate cut by the Fed in four years. In September, the all-but-assured rate cut of 25 basis points was supplanted by a far more…
Read MoreThe Fed Easing Is Already Impacting Housing
Fed Chairman Jay Powell’s remarks at the very exclusive Jackson Hole Economic Symposium in August signaled the Fed’s forthcoming action to reduce rates, starting in September. But even before that, in a sign that homebuyers sensed what was coming, sales of new homes rose unexpectedly in July, following significant revisions in the previous month’s data. Sales of newly built, single-family…
Read MoreSome of the Experts Keep Getting it Wrong
Some of the brightest minds in the economic research area are on Wall Street, working for either major investment banks or business news services with a global following. As recently as a couple of weeks ago, they were issuing research that warned of a slowdown coming in the economy: one began their note by saying that after having boomed its…
Read MoreMore Pain in the Office Space Sector
I have written extensively about the one large hole in construction that has put a lid on a certain sector of concrete production, and more and more news continues to cause worry about its future: the office space industry. If there is one legacy from the pandemic that may linger for years to come, it is the Work-From-Home/Hybrid Work/Return-to-Office struggle…
Read MoreThe Other Shoe Drops
In the last half of April, there were a couple of seminal economic events that, taken together, mark an example of proverbial shoes dropping, and for the first time in years, marks a cautionary signal on the economy. The first shoe to drop was when Fed Chairman Jay Powell unexpectedly announced that firmer-than-expected inflation during the first quarter has called…
Read MoreThe Overlooked Gift to Our Economy
by Pierre G. Villere Just a couple of months ago, I wrote about the outlook for a strong economy for the foreseeable future, and I cited the confluence of events that is apparent around us: Inflation that is falling, the outlook for interest rate cuts later this year, and the robust performance of the stock markets that is bolstering everyone’s 401(k)…
Read MoreA Return to Population Growth
One of the key drivers to growth in our economy is sheer population growth, which by its very nature spurs household formations. But so many other corners of our economy benefit from population growth other than just the housing market. These new entrants to our economy have to buy goods and services, put gas in their cars, pursue entertainment options,…
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